From the Culper shop:
Si vis pacem, para bellum.
Culper needs to find some old dog like me to review his work before he goes public with it.
From Culper: “To recap: The current culture war won’t be a conventional war. We’re not talking about tanks in the streets or bombing insurgents into submission. The combatants of tomorrow won’t take part in pitched battles of maneuver warfare, but they’ll engage in what we’re already seeing …”.
Don’t bet on it!
Both the War for Independence (“Revolutionary War”) and the U.S. Civil War were largely conventional wars. And these conventional wars were justified (made necessary) for reasons that go well beyond “a tectonic shift in culture”. So trying to explain the reasons for these two conventional wars in terms of a “cultural shift” misses the mark. In fact, you could say both of these conventional wars were a direct result of a cultural that would not shift at all. The American culture is one that will not tolerate “a long train of abuses and usurpations” indefinitely. And once we’ve done all we can do peacefully, we just start killing the assholes that really need a good kill’n. Once you’re committed to killing in an effective, efficient manner, a conventional war is top-flight solution.
So, if you think tanks, artillery, and fighter-bombers will not play a big part in the next “civil war”, you’re in for a big, nasty surprise.
I would have to agree in a sense that I personally do not trust the Amerikan .mil to side with us. There are way too many “minorities” wearing the uniform. And, in the event of a meltdown, command and control can break down on a regional level. I foresee Bandenkrieg, as Thomas Chittum described in his seminal work CIVIL WAR II.
That’s right. That book set out benchmarks that are being tripped by the the day.
Just like the Roman mercenaries. History does rhyme.
Don’t rule out the JNA approach in Former Yugoslavia – they largely sat out the fighting, but they were quite active in supplying/training one side. Somewhat the same with the British Army in Northern Ireland: it was ostensibly there to keep the peace, but really only conducted operations against one side, and – wouldn’t you know it – their “missing” weapons and ordinance kept turning up in the hands of the other side.
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