Monthly Archives: February 2020

Aesop: Nice Try, But No Sale

Read this.

Then read the examiner’s report.

It could very bad.

It could be less icky.

Folks with families need to prep for The Bad Thing, rather than Happy Outcomeville.

Godspeed to all.

Open Thread 0910E 28FEB2020

See also this Campbell tactical piece from yesterday:

Instylinkdump 0759E 02282020

AP: The Panic Begins But You Are Going To Remain Calm

NCR: WHO has not a clue, but likes police-state home incarceration

ZH: No Motive To Lie Whatsoever – World Bank’s Pandemic Bonds (wtf?) Enter The High-Morbidity Zone (h/t NCR)

Instylinkdump 1858E 28FEB2020

(Gab)

Anniversary

Your tax dollars at work.

Good thing we are a more cohesive, functional society here in 2020.

National Anthem, People’s Republic Of East America, 2025

Via TSM:

Imagine there’s no bread
It’s easy if you try
No tacos or hot sauce,
Nothing cold or fried,
Imagine all the people living in the gulags

Imagine there’s no money
It isn’t hard to do
Nothing to eat or drink
And no bacon too
Imagine all the people living short life spans ooooh

You may say I’m a commie
But I’m not the only one
And someday you will join us
Or we’ll shoot you in the face

Imagine no possessions
Because all your stuff was redistributed
Lots of greed and hunger
But seriously please can I have a potato
Imagine all the people sharing all your stuff, yeah

You may say I’m a commie
But I’m not the only one
Did you say you don’t like that?
Then it’s the gulag for you, son

Teamwork

Via Gab.

Aesop: If/When Blues, Starring You

With poor or non-existent data, crystalballing gets really tough.

If you don’t get your supplies now, you might not get them.

Guarantees?

Nope.

Except this:

It is better to have and not need, rather than need and not be able to get.

Related: CNN: USN orders 14-day self-quarantine for ships that have made stops in the Pacific amid coronavirus concerns

And do read Aesop’s comment from elsewhere.

Good times, indeed.

Bracken: Will The PRC Win The Pandemic World War?

The economic term is “comparative advantage”.*

The boojahideen term is “They can die and be repressed longer than you can, round eyes”.

Plan accordingly.

*

A Nobody Sends On WuFlu Preps

From over the transom:

I’ve had several people pm and email me questions about what they should be buying to ride out an emergency. To be honest, this is something very difficult to answer in a general way, because what a healthy millennial in St. Paul Minnesota should have on hand and what a diabetic boomer living in Maricopa Arizona need are drastically different. Also, I don’t want to be on the hook LEGALLY if you take my advice and it puts your sickly ass in the ICU. Welcome to the modern era.

What I am about to post is for entertainment purposes only. I am not your doctor, investment advisor or your lawyer. I don’t know what’s healthy for you, I don’t know what’s good for your financial situation and I don’t know the laws where you live. Anything I say here is in no way me giving you advice on what you should be doing, but it will hopefully get you thinking and asking qualified people with ample malpractice insurance these sorts of questions.

So, that out of the way, here is my NON-Advice oh how to prepare for a one-to-four month emergency:
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First Priority: One Month Disruption – These are serious things that can harm you in a one week timeline.

– Water. People need about one gallon of water per day, per person to stay hydrated, fed and clean. You can buy cases of bottled water, or, you can purchase large water containers at big box stores in the camping section for about the same price and fill them yourself. If you’re concerned about longer term water issues, consider a Katadyn or Big Berkey water filter. These can get very expensive however, so you need to look at your situation, gauge how bad you think things will be, and think hard before you start dropping cash – professional grade water filters are the threshold between “normie” and “prepper” in my mind. I personally stock calcium hypochlorite, but I refuse to recommend this to people that have not been properly trained in its storage and use – as mishandling it can burn your home down or kill you if improperly mixed/handled. I emphatically do not recommend chemical disinfectants of any stripe to novices.

– Medication. Are you on prescription medication? Contact your doctor and ask for a few months extra because you’re worried about possible Chinese supply chain disruptions. Or, you can tell him/her you’re planning to take a four month vacation, and need a good supply. So long as you’re not using controlled substances, most doctors will help you out in this regard.

– Shelter. You do have a place to stay right? A house, apartment, a trailer – and a way to pay for these things if you’re quarantined from work for a month? I can’t imagine getting dumped in a shelter – or worse, a Superdome Style Plague camp – would be a good situation. In some places, you need to stay warm, in others, cool – can you maintain safe/comfortable temperatures if there are power disruptions? Perhaps a storm knocks a branch into a transformer, and the Linemen are going slow because of the emergency. Do you have battery fans, a fireplace, stove or a propane heater? (Be careful only to use propane heaters in well ventilated places, and test your gear out before an emergency to make sure its not defective).

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Second Priority: Two-To-Three Month Disruption – Things that are dangerous medium-term, but take weeks to injure you.

– Food. Being hungry sucks. Luckily for you, a healthy human can go a long time without food. But, if you have health problems, high metabolism, low body fat, or other sorts of issues, the situation can be a bit more grim. My boiler-plate advice is to keep a large pantry, filled with the things you normally eat. Enough to last at least two months if you stretch it. That’s about 1200 calories per day, per person, 2000 if you’re being REALLY active. Do NOT buy survival food. That is expensive for the calorie count. Do not buy MRES. They don’t keep well, they’re expensive, and are intended to be war-fighter food – so unless you’re joining the Boogajahdeen, pass on those. Chest freezers are great, and can stay cold for some time even without power if you insulate them. I would suggest that everyone keep a 5llb bag of red beans and a 10lb bag of white rice, (not brown, the oil in the bran spoils it), as very cheap, ultra-shelf stable reserve.

– Over-the Counter Medications and Toiletries:
Go to a pharmacy or big-box store and top off your medicine cabinet with the following things – only the brands you normally use. Remember – we’re not prepping for Mad Max – we’re just buying MORE of what we’re going to use already.
1: toilet paper.
2: feminine-hygiene products.
3: laundry detergent.
4: bug repellent.
5: tissues.
6: glass cleaner.
7: disinfectant spray (clorox, Lysol, 409).
8: shampoo.
9: deodorant.
10: razors.
11: toothpaste.
12: toothbrushes.
13: triple antibiotic (neosporin).
14: povidone-iodine (topical disinfectant).
15: acetaminophen (tylenol).
16: acetylsalicylic acid (aspirin).
17: ibuprofen (advil).
18: pseudoephedrine (sudafed).
19: diphenhydramine (benadryl).
20: loperamide hydrochloride (immodium).
21: day & night multi-flu symptom relief (DayQuil & NyQuil).
22: gauze.
23: band-aids.
24: liquid hand sanitizer with a skin moisturizer (must have 60% or more alcohol).
25: N95 and N100 respirators (if so inclined).

– Light: If you’re in the middle of a blackout, the night gets very dark. You do have at least one decent quality flash-light and enough batteries to run it? Some cheap options are propane camping lamps, paraffin lamps, and battery powered LED lamps. (Careful with the paraffin lamp oil – it causes a nasty rash if you get it on your skin). A box or two of matches sealed in a glass jar is also wise. (Mice like to chew on matches, and can ignite them if just stashed in their box). I keep four paraffin lamps and a gallon of paraffin lamp oil for these situations, as well as 3 D-cell maglite and a pair of energizer LED head-lamps. I have also keep zippo lighter and a Finish ferro rod on my person at all times.

_____________________________________________

Tertiary Priority: Four Month, (Or Longer), Disruption – Things that are dangerous long-term, make you uncomfortable, or are unlikely, but have a high potential impact.

– Vitamins: You should have an age appropriate multivitamin, in case supply-chain issues linger a bit, and the stores have a hard time stocking various fruits, meats and vegetables. With the correct vitamins you can supplement your diet and help stay healthy. You may need to speak with a certified nutritionist or doctor to figure out what is safe given your medical issues.

– Weapons: You should possess the most effective weapon your local laws allow. Ideally, you have trained yourself in the proper use and maintenance of said weapon, and practice regularly to keep your skills up. You should also practice safe handling and storage of said weapon. You will need to try various weapons out yourself to figure out what is comfortable, controllable and convenient to carry. You will hear many arguments over the “best” weapon or ammunition for it. In my experience, shot placement matters more than ammunition type, and that is a product of training. .38, .357, .9mm, .40 and .45 ACP are wildly popular weapon calibers. For home defense many people like Remington and Mossberg shotguns and AR/AK platform carbines. In weapon restricted places, wasp spray, bear spray, pepper spray, mace, cricket bats, baseball bats are possibilities. In many places guns are forbidden but machetes, axes, black powder weapons and various flavors of bows are tolerated. I can’t get much more specific than this, because of the sheer number of variables involved in the topic. Speaking personally, I carry a Ruger LCR and a S&W 686 revolver, chambered in .38/.357 with me always, and my Jeep has a Ruger Mini-14 and a Mossberg Mariner in a locking roof compartment.

– Batteries and Power: I recommend a fresh package of all the batteries your essentials use. That includes flashlights, hearing aids, radios and other essential gear. You can buy cheap devices that let you charge a cell phone using AA and AAA batteries. I personally use eneloop rechargeables and goal zero solar panels in my emergency gear, but these are all very expensive, and hardly necessary for a short term emergency.

– Entertainment: You should have some cards, board-games, role-playing games, books or other hobbies that don’t require power in the event of some power outages. Empty time can be agonizing and can start arguments.

– Documents: Do you have your important documents secured and in one easily accessible place? Birth certificates, diplomas, deeds, bank account info, passwords, credentials, passports, bonds, investment information, etcetera? If you need to gather these things quickly… could you? I keep all of my important documents on an encrypted thumb drive, which fits into a zipper on the inside of my belt. Obviously, I am on the extreme side of things, the main point is that you have the information organized and quickly accessible in the event you need it rapidly

– Money: Do you have a cash reserve in the event there is a bank holiday or issues with credit payment? If we’re planning on a four month emergency, do you have enough valuables on hand to make purchases if your bank is closed and the ATM inaccessible? You should have about four to six months living expenses in your bank account, so you can write checks for things like car and house payments. You should have at least a month’s worth of cash, stored in four different, secure places in your home. On your person, you should carry at least $200.00 in cash, which should cover an emergency hotel stay, modest vehicle repair, or an impromptu grocery trip.

– Comms: A good emergency radio with a hand-crank is a great idea. Many of them allow you to charge your cell phone from the dynamo too. Your cell phone service may not work, but its text and data might still be operational. I keep a set of 4 mile range cobra Walkie-talkies for distribution if necessary, (don’t let them just sit in their bases, charge them once a year and unplug), which have been handy in quite a few situations. Don’t discount short-wave radios. There are numerous websites and guides online to learn more.

– Sanitation: If you have some water or sewer disruptions, you may find yourself needing to deal with garbage and excrement of various flavors. You should be thinking of how you will safely dispose of your trash, (burning it in a barrel, on a concrete slab, etc), and how you will manage human waste.

– Gasoline: Do you have a way to keep your car running if there are supply disruptions at the service station? For starters, never allow your vehicle to go below a half tank of gasoline. Additionally, stockpiling enough fuel to fill your tank entirely is a sound plan. PRI-G and STABIL are good products that will allow you to keep three or four five gallon gas containers from spoiling. Yes. Gasoline spoils over time. Be mindful of the cans you buy. The fruits and nuts in California have shackled us serfs to some truly terrible containers. There are two ways around this, one is expensive, one is illegal. DuckDuckGo will help acquaint you with both options.

– Go-bag: If something happens, and you are forced to evacuate your shelter, a comfortable, well made container packed with a few essential items can be immensely useful. I cannot do more than gloss over the issue, as it is a topic in and of itself, with personal and environmental concerns than are unique to each person reading this. Your go-bag, bail-out bag, bug-out bag, or whatever term you choose should have the things you’d need if you were going on a week long vacation.
You should have at a minimum:
1: Basic hygiene materials.
2: Something to put between you and the ground.
3: Something you can use for shelter.
4: Clothes appropriate to the terrain, gloves and a hat.
5: Light.
6: A small mirror.
7: Basic first aid.
8: Bug repellent.
9: The best quality knife legally allowed.
10: A reliable way to start a fire.
11: Some high calorie density food.
12: A steel water bottle.
13: A means/plan to procure water.
14: Quality cordage (550 cord).
15: Currency.
16: Important documents.
17: A well considered plan on where you intend to go and how you intend to get there. You’re most likely not trained to be a mountain man and you don’t want to become a refugee.
_____________________________________________

My appraisal of the current situation:

I think the panic over the Coronavirus is overblown to a large degree. It’s no black death, or small pox. As with most things, the biggest issues are the idiots around us. If you are in a group that is more susceptible to Corona-Chan, such as people over 55, diabetics or the immune-compramized then you might want to:
– Avoid crowds.
– Wash your hands well before eating.
– Avoid potlucks and office sheet-cake.
– Stay in your home unless there is a pressing need to go anywhere.
– Wear an N95 – or better – respirator in public, if it makes you feel safer.
– Keep your fingers away from your face.
– Avoid eating out or getting delivery food.
– Use a hand sanitizer with a moisturizing agent.
– Touch elevator buttons with your knuckles.
– Use handicap automated door openers to enter buildings, hit the button with your knuckle, elbow or hip.
– Avoid public rest-rooms.
– Do essential shopping at off-hours.

The largest problems will be caused by:

– Panicking people behaving stupidly.
– Emergency services being overwhelmed, some of it unnecessarily by scared people.
– Public over-reaction leading to temporary disruptions of essential services. (Folks not coming to work).
– 2nd and 3rd world production failures leading to shortages of sundry items.
– Capital Market disruptions caused by fears of the virus and factory/service disruptions.
– Shortages of key medications manufactured in heavily infected areas.

Be safe. Be smart. And as Ol’Remus says – Avoid crowds.

Open Thread: 0815E 27FEB2020

Whaddya got?

Local sitreps especially.

Insty link dump 0802E 27FEB2020

WuFlu latest counts by area as of 0640E 27FEB2020

(Via Gab)

Devils With Green Eyes

NODs and you, via AP.

See also 15 Fighters: Night Vision Gear

What A Difference 12 Days Makes

ZH: 2/14 Slides From McKinsey Corona Services Offer Bespoke Deck-Chair Rearrangement Service To Governments & Corporations Worldwide

Related: 1832E 26FEB2020 Insty link dump

Also related: CDC Telebrief Transcript 26FEB2020

Aesop: What Next?

Tick. Tock.

Don’t be singing that WuFlu Barricades Blues.

TL Davis: Freedom And Its Advocates

His latest.

More to come.

Wilder: Stalin’s Cannibal Island

JW teaches a lesson on Full Communism.

And says this video is too disturbing for linkage:

Open Thread: 0808E 26FEB2020

Insty WuFlu Link Dump 0752E

Aussies Pull Trigger On Pandemic Plan

UPDATE 1206E 26FEB2020:

What are you hearing?

(Stilton)

Three From AP

Radio Contra #8

Radio Contra #9

Radio Contra #10

Enjoy.

Totally Legit

425 Billion Reasons Why WHO Sez WuFlu Not Pandemic

Aesop: Wait For It…

Lovely.

Take heed of his final notation.

Beyond Words

Adapting To Survive

Via JC at AP:

Part I: FAL .308 Winchester to .32ACP

Part II: AR-15 .223 to .22LR